![]() While his success rate (50%) and EPA (0.15) do not stand out, he looked good in a starting role and is making a strong statement that he deserves to see the field more often even when Edelman and Harry eventually return.Įlsewhere, the Patriots saw some limited production from fellow starters Damiere Byrd and Ryan Izzo, while Gunner Olszewski was a non-factor in the receiving game despite playing 42 offensive snaps. The man of the hour, in terms of targets, catches and yards was Jakobi Meyers. The Patriots’ passing game struggled mightily over the last two weeks, but it did find some success against Buffalo even with Julian Edelman on injured reserve and N’Keal Harry unable to go because of a concussion. Harris is making a strong case for himself as the number one option with the former first-round pick still sidelined. It will be interesting to see how New England handles the lead-back role once Sony Michel returns off of injured reserve. The player that does stand out is, of course, Damien Harris: the second-year back gained 102 yards on just 16 attempts and also scored his first career touchdown. While the unit as a whole found the end zone twice and gained 188 on 34 carries for an average of 5.5 yards per attempt, it was not until the second half that it got going: over the first 30 minutes of game time: the Patriots averaged only 3.1 yards on their 14 rushing attempts. New England’s running game had an up-and-down day against the Bills. With that out of the way, let’s dig into the stats. EPA aims at measuring the value of individual offensive plays in terms of points by calculating what is expected to happen on an individual play depending on down, distance, field position and game situation and contrasting it with the eventual outcome. EPA: EPA stands for “Expected Points Added” and is based on the work done by Ben Baldwin through his website.at least 10 yards on 3rd-and-10 and 4th-and-10). at least 7 yards on 2nd-and-10), and 100 percent on both third and fourth down (i.e. at least 5 yards on 1st-and-10), 70 percent on second down (i.e. For a play be considered a success it will have to gain at least 50 percent of the necessary yardage on first down (i.e. It aims to characterize how successful a play was relative to the down and distance in which it took place. OSR: OSR stands for “Offensive Success Rate” and is based on Bill Connelly’s work at SB Nation.Before analyzing the numbers, however, we will have to explain two of the categories you will meet here that go beyond conventional statistics: With that said, let’s dive into the advanced statistics from the game. While the 24-21 end result was therefore a disappointing one, the Patriots ddi show some steps in the right direction along the way. The New England Patriots were close to beating the Buffalo Bills on the road in Week 8, but eventually came up just short when they turned the football over on a potential game-winning or at least game-tying drive late in the fourth period. ![]()
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